By Todd Cook
•
May 31, 2023
In our April video streaming update, we found that the industry’s Usage Intent ¹ , ² dipped slightly, with Netflix contributing with a 3% drop from February to March . This decline followed the launch of its cheaper ad-supported tier and content budget cuts. Despite the Usage Intent dip, customers have shown increased satisfaction ³ with Netflix's ease of use and navigation, likely due to app improvements. This month we look to “The Crowd” of real customers to analyze more than 530,000 pieces of feedback across the entertainment sector and 100,000 pieces of feedback on 17 video streaming services to understand which streaming services are best positioned for growth. We particularly focus on the opportunities for the new Max streaming service to succeed and Apple TV+, which has become much more interesting to its customers lately. Examining this feedback, we find: HBO Max, Disney+, Amazon Prime Video and Netflix have all seen Usage Intent fall in the last three months. Only Apple TV+ and Discovery+ are up in the last three months. US subscriber growth for many has stalled, leading them to focus on pricing power and margins. We believe the recently launched Max platform’s success will hinge on Warner Bros. Discovery’s ability to rectify certain shortcomings of the standalone platforms, invest smartly in content and marketing, surface relevant content to its expanded user base and forge new partnerships. Max launches with a content volume advantage over key competitor Disney+. We believe it is smart for Max to continue investing in this advantage, as streaming customers are currently prioritizing content variety over price, creating an opportunity to capture price and margins. Max could benefit from advertising on Reddit, Tumblr, Pinterest and Nextdoor, platforms where feedback overlap with HBO Max and Discovery+ is well above normal. As more streaming services pursue sports content deals, Max may want to consider one with the NHL (currently partnered with ESPN+). Both HBO Max and Discovery+ subscribers leave 3x more feedback on the NHL than the average respondent. Apple TV+ continues to lag peers but has seen a recent surge in Usage Intent, particularly with 18-29-year-olds (a key segment for Max). The surge has been driven by interest in its new content. Looking across the broader entertainment sector, we see the video streaming industry has largely maintained its standing as a way for people to spend their time relative to the rest of the entertainment sector. The industry's Usage Intent was steady in April, as it has been over the past year.